Fantasy Hockey rally: things are starting to move forward
When I mentioned last week the Big Four – Colorado, Vegas, New York Islanders and Tampa Bay – were 5-9-1, they’ve been since 9-4-1, and that’s with a long list of key players who are not available. due to injury. As the first month draws to a close, we are reminded that this is a marathon and not a sprint and that we have not yet played 10% of the season.
Some plots and note stories at the end of October:
The Hurricanes and Panthers have been popular picks for the black horses for the past two seasons, and Friday’s games are combined 15-0-0. When do black horses become favorites?
The Sabers and Red Wings have a combined 9-3-3 record and if the playoffs started today they would finish second and third in the Atlantic Division. How long can they keep this?
The Flames ended their five-game road trip with a perfect record. Do we all agree that they are the third best team in the Pacific behind the Knights and Oilers?
Frederik Andersen, Caroline
In retrospect, Andersen ended up following one of the most common scripts for ex-Leafs – finding success elsewhere. A 33-save shutout against the Bruins pushed Andersen and the Canes to a 6-0-0 record with just eight goals (!) Against and Antti Raanta kept the streak alive with a 6-3 win in his debut. in the season. What was originally believed to be a possible 1A-1B situation now sees Andersen as a No.1 workaholic who could end the season as a fantastic top-five goalie, and he arguably has been the best value pick of the season so far. For those who picked Andrei Vasilevskiy and Connor Hellebuyck early… I told you the goalkeeper was voodoo.
Sergei Bobrovsky and Spencer Knight, Florida
Equally impressive were the Panthers, who are also undefeated at 8-0-0. The strange thing about it is that we weren’t expecting the two the keepers of being this Well. It’s a good problem to have, but it also means fantasy managers who bet on Bobrovsky or Knight to be the starting goalie can now consider timeshares. Bobrovsky has started six games against two for Knight, but when the streak is interrupted and victory becomes more difficult, the rotation will be subject to change.
Mikko Koskinen, Edmonton
With Mike Smith’s potential comeback on Saturday, Koskinen’s miraculous little run where he went 3-1-0 with a .926 Sv% will end sooner rather than later. In the past, Koskinen often needed solid support to win games, but his performance so far this season has opened the door to potentially more playing time even when Smith returns.
If Koskinen can continue to play as well as he did, he will be very popular for starts on the spot and should be available in most leagues for the remainder of the season. Leagues that feature managers who rack up goalies may consider hiding Koskinen. With the kind of support he gets, he should at least hit nearly 20 wins.
Craig Anderson and Dustin Tokarski, Buffalo
Anderson is now five of 300 wins in his career and what he and the Sabers are doing is pretty amazing. They put Ewing’s theory to the ultimate test and they are now 5-1-1 without Jack Eichel and after trading Sam Reinhart and Rasmus Ristolainen. They get goal support from the most unlikely of sources, including Zemgus Girgensons, the seven-year veteran who has only scored more than 10 goals twice in his career, and Kyle Okposo, the 14-year-old veteran who has already equaled last year’s total. two goals in 32 fewer games.
The most surprising part is that their underlying numbers of Corsi% and Fenwick%, according to naturalstattrick.com, are 13th and 12th in the league respectively, which suggests their strong play is no fluke. There’s certainly still a lot of doubt about how long Anderson and Tokarski can sustain this, but Anderson is definitely playing off the fantastic relevance. He’s listed in 27% of Yahoo leagues and deserves a speculative hiding place if rookie goalies are scarce. I don’t know how long Anderson’s long game will last, but he has defied expectations so far.
Other goalkeepers we watch: Semyon Varlamov and Ilya Sorokin, Islanders; Jordan Binnington and Ville Husso, Bleus; James Reimer, Sharks; Martin Jones, Circulars; Cam Talbot, Wild
Dawson Mercer, California, New Jersey
The absence of Jack Hughes opened the door for Mercer, who has averaged 15 minutes over the last two games with two points and 11 face-off wins. The Devils’ roster is pretty fluid as they have a lot of players who can move up and down the lineup and play different roles, but Mercer was almost exclusively used as a center for the first six, taking the second-highest number of draws in the offensive zone. (20) behind Nico Hischier (34). Mercer has the fifth best P / GP among rookies (min. 5 GP) and could be in the Calder race if his role continues to expand.
Lucas Raymond, LW, Detroit
The Swedish sniper has scored half his points in one game with a hat trick and an assist and currently leads all rookies in the standings. Part of Raymond’s success is due to opportunity; even though he’s averaging 15:50 TOI / GP, sixth among Detroit forwards, he ranks high on the best power play unit and front row. In other words, he’s playing fairly protected minutes with good teammates, but it’s probably the right way to bring rookies into the NHL. Raymond is listed in nearly 50 percent of Yahoo’s leagues – and is climbing – and could certainly lead the Wings in scoring.
Jonathan Dahlen, C / LW, San José
Dahlen is another talented Swedish rookie who gets a ton of quality opportunities. The former captain and Timra’s top scorer in the Swedish League with 71 points in 45 games won the position of the first line out of the camp and has not regretted it. While William Eklund entered and exited training, Dahlen stayed with Logan Couture and Timo Meier. The Sharks’ pace seems unbearable, but Dahlen’s production and minutes haven’t fluctuated much. He’s worth a stash in the deep leagues in case he continues to score even when the Sharks start losing games. With five points and 20 shots on goal, which ranks second behind Timo Meier, Dahlen can be a useful depth striker in the fantasy.
Bowen Byram, D, Colorado
The Avs’ defensive pairs have been juggling all season and that’s subject to more change when Devon Toews returns, but the league was warned once Jared Bednar paired Byram and Cale Makar with much more regularity. The two offensive dynamos played 65:25 together 5-on-5, according to naturalstattrick.com, with a 54.24 5v5 CF% and 64.56 5v5 xGF%, which placed 18th and seventh respectively in the league, among pairs who have played for more than 60 minutes. Makar and Byram could be even better than their already strong possession stats already suggest; on talent alone, they could have the most offensive advantage of any modern-day couples.
More importantly, Byram’s minutes have increased due to the fact that he has played with Makar more often, playing 16:33 in the season opener at 26:07 and 23:19 in his last two games, in which he also landed an assist and six shots. to goal. Present in 44% of Yahoo leagues, Byram’s reputation has preceded him, but given the massive increase in usage recently, he’s definitely worth keeping an eye out for.
Other rookies we keep an eye out for: Drew O’Connor, LW, Penguins; Tanner Jeannot, left / right. predators; Trevor Zegras, C / LW, and Jamie Drysdale, D, Ducks; Alex Nedeljkovic, G, Red Wings
Mathieu Joseph, C / RW, Tampa Bay
With Nikita Kucherov out for the long haul, someone in the Lightning system had to step back. So far that player has been Joseph, who has averaged 10:14 in the first four games, but now averages 16:47 in the last four games, which has allowed him to score his first three points of the season. The Lightning have ‘struggled’ so far with a 4-3-1 record and Jon Cooper’s roster is constantly changing, but Joseph appears to have solidified in the top six and last played on a row. with Steven Stamkos and Ondrej Palat.
Running low on depth and with Ross Colton and Taylor Raddysh not making much of an impression, Joseph could be the breakout player the Lightning sorely needed after losing so much depth over the summer. Joseph is only listed in one percent of Yahoo’s leagues and that number is sure to grow as he continues to play a top-six role and the Lightning continues to get back on track.
Matt Duchene, C / RW, and Ryan Johansen, C, Nashville
It was a curious decision to stack their two most expensive and worst performing players on a single row, but it has worked wonderfully so far. Duchene has five points and 24 shots this season, looking more alive than he’s ever made in Nashville, while Johansen’s six points and 68 game wins indicate he’s serious about being again one of the best centers in the league.
The Preds aren’t built to score many goals, but it’s very encouraging that they can team up Duchene and Johansen to form a top line, and the two have played so well individually that they can be trusted to play on separate lines. again, although Duchene remains a winger with Mikael Granlund in the middle. Johansen (10%) and Duchene (11%) have seen increased attention over the past week and may have returned to the relevance of fantasy. They deserve to be watched and certainly useful in rotary leagues again, even if they don’t score.
Elias Lindholm, C / RW and Andrew Mangiapane, LW / RW, Calgary
Lindholm’s fantastic value is evident, having an eligibility for two positions and arguably the Flames’ best player in recent seasons. Mangiapane, who is only listed in 61% of the Yahoo league, is a more interesting case, but he’s also had a huge impact lately. He’s scored seven goals in seven games and plays a relentless aggressive style that seems tailor-made for the Flames. Lindholm has been a mainstay as a No.1 center between Johnny Gaudreau and Matthew Tkachuk, and that line will likely remain intact all season.
Mangiapane has moved quite a bit and Darryl Sutter isn’t really the type to label his lines, but just know that Mangiapane is seventh with 14:43 TOI / GP among the Flames forwards, just behind Sean Monahan at 14:53, who is absolutely not better than Mangiapane and is set to fall even more out of favor with just one assist and nine shots in seven games.